Sunday, November 21, 2010

Tigers at loggerheads

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Tigers at loggerheads

The Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) were restricted by the military to an area of 121 sq. kms by February 10, and by February 12, it was further restricted to an area of 96 sq. kms. To be precise, the Tigers have lost some 64 sq. km. within six days. When the Tigers lose ground and manpower, obviously they lose their unity as well.
LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran had instructed his cadres not to allow any civilians to leave areas under their control and if they still attempted to flee, to shoot them.
Reliable sources say that Thillaiyampalam Sivanesan alias ‘Soosai’, the Sea Tiger leader had strongly objected to this order by Prabhakaran. But Prabhakaran had reportedly disagreed with Soosai and told him to mind his own business, as he (Prabhakaran) was the leader of the organisation and was the decision maker.
“No one is above me,” he had reportedly told Soosai. This incident had taken place, according to sources, after the LTTE counterattacked on February 1. This has strained the relationship between Soosai and Prabhakaran. Some of the LTTE leaders such as P. Nadesan and Bhanu had reportedly tried to iron out the differences, but unsuccessfully. Some leaders are supportive of Soosai, and sources say that Black Sea Tigers are providing round the clock security to Soosai. This is said to be after Prabhakaran had given instructions to his close aides to keep a close watch on Soosai. Prabhakaran suspects that Soosai may beat him in taking a plane to flee the country. So, if he gets caught doing this, the Tiger chief’s gunmen will surely kill him.
 Soosai very much alive but losing favour Now it has come to light that, though the Sri Lanka Air Force (SLAF) bombed Soosai’s hideout, and reports suggested that he had been killed or severely injured, in fact, he had narrowly escaped. When Theepan, one of the top rung leaders had requested Sea Tiger support for the counterattack of February 1, Soosai is said to have rejected the request. This had prompted Prabhakaran himself to order Soosai to release the necessary cadres for the attack and for him to command it. This counterattack on the Sri Lanka Army (SLA) on February 1 was a total failure, as far as the Tigers were concerned. The LTTE lost a large number of seasoned cadres. But Soosai and Bhanu had blamed the LTTE’s intelligence wing and its head Rathnam Master for failing to provide accurate intelligence. 
 In the melee, it is learnt that Soosai and LTTE Intelligence head Pottu Amman are not seeing eye-to-eye. This is as a result of Pottu Amman sending one of his intelligence cadres to Sea Tiger Soosai’s inner circle to spy on his activities. This spy had been detected by a Soosai loyalist and while being interrogated had disclosed Pottu Amman’s plan. Soosai had ordered his men to eliminate the spy.   
 At the moment, the LTTE leaders have strong misunderstandings among themselves, as well as a lack of trust. But the LTTE may counter this situation with P. Nadesan responding through TamilNet and publishing some old photographs of Prabhakaran and Soosai together, to tell the Diaspora that everything is well within the organisation. 
 It is more a rule than an exception that, whenever an organisation, however much disciplined, is beset with defeat after defeat, misunderstandings are apt to crop up among the leaders. For a terrorist organisation, the options are for its leaders to go underground or surrender to the military. But will they? The other option will be for them to arrive into government controlled areas, posing as civilians, which, technically, they are, and then live as moles or ‘sleeping cadres’ to become active as and when necessary, since they know the exact locations of concealed weapons. They may resort to hit-and-run tactics.
  Fight for survival or surrender  There are two options remaining for the LTTE in the battlefront. One is to mount counterattacks or to fight for survival. What if they mount counterattacks and still the Army repulses them, resulting in greater loss of cadres? To surmount this problem, they would keep civilians by force as a human shield and shoot them if they attempt to escape. This is evident from the tales related by those who had arrived in Trincomalee, after fleeing LTTE held areas. They say the Tigers had shot at them while they were trying to escape, killing some and injuring others.
 Some others said that, even some LTTE cadres who had been allocated guard duties, had discarded their weapons and arrived in government controlled areas along with the civilians. 
This means that Prabhakaran commits genocide of his own people, something not done by ‘rebels’, but by terrorists. Unfortunately, all or most foreign media based in Sri Lanka, identify the Tigers as ‘rebels’, which in itself is a misnomer. Well, at the moment, the LTTE lacks manpower for battle or to use its weaponry. The only ace up its sleeve is the brainwashed Black Tiger cadres with their explosives.  
 The final battle and arms haulsOn the 17th, 58 Division under Brig. Shavindra Silva and  his  two Brigades 581 Brigade under Lt Col Desapriya Gunawardane and 582 Brigade under Lt Col Sanjaya Wanigasinghe, are now in the process of dominating the entire Puthukkuduyiruppu western area. According to reports, infantrymen of 6 Gamunu Watch (GW) under Lt Col Kamal Pinnawala , 8GW under Vajira Welgadara, 12GW under Maj. Sampath Ekanayake, 11 Sri Lanka Light Infantry (SLLI)  under Kithsiri Ekanayake, 10 SLLI under Lt Col Shamantha Wickramasinghe and 7 Sinha Regiment (SR) under Lt Col Kitisiri Liyanage have been engaged in pitched battles with the terrorists since February 16 morning. 
The soldiers have maneuvered from north of A-35 road (Paranthan-Mullaittivu), crossing several waterways and eliminated terrorist strongholds on their way, before they reached their current positions. 
According to available information, troops have collected 14 bodies of LTTE cadres after yesterday’s clashes.
57 Division commander Maj. Gen. Jagath Dias has instructed his 571 Brigade Commanders Lt. Col. Harendra Ranasinghe, Col. Senrath Bandara and Lt. Col. Senake Wijesooriya to clear the liberated area as well to consolidate, to prevent any enemy infiltration. During such search operations troops recovered buried arms and ammunition.
On 16th, troops of 5 Vijayabahu Infantry Regiment (VIR)  led by Lt. Col. Jayantha Jayaweera, serving under 533 Brigade commanded by Lt. Col. Jayanath Jayaweera found two 130mm artillery barrels from general area west of Puthukkudyiruppu. The two artillery barrels had been applied with grease and covered with polyethylene before being buried by the fleeing LTTE. Further search operations are now in progress, as the military believes that the remaining accessories of the 130mm artillery guns are also hidden in the surrounding area.
 Take Force 3 under Brig. Sathiyapriya Liyanage is holding the south of Mullaithivu and a part of Task Force 2 is conducting search operations while holding captured ground.
58 Division under Brig. Shavendra Silva, with 582 Brigade under Lt. Col. Sanajaya Wanigasinghe, along with one of his battalion the 11 CLI under Lt. Col. Kithsiri Ekanayake, entered west of  Puthukkudyiruppu build up area. When the 11 CLI troops advanced on Maradapiliara canal crossing, an LTTE suicide bomber blew himself up injuring eight soldiers. Battlefield sources said that this particular suicide bomber had only one leg. Soldiers had found an artificial leg along with his remains. Troops also recovered Jonnie mines. Troops fired RPG and one container exploded. The LTTE had mounted an attack from higher ground, but troops launched an operation early in the morning with a Special Infantry Operations team sneaking into LTTE held areas and relaying the locations for accurate artillery and T-55 Main Battle Tank (MBT). 
 12 GR under Lt. Col. Saliya Amunugama advanced north of the A-35 road amidst heavy resistance. On the 17th, 58 Division under Brig. Shavendra Silva with 581 Brigade under Lt. Col. Deshapriya Gunawardane and 6 GW under Lt. Col. Kamal Pinnawala advanced their troops towards a village called Ampalavanpokkanai, north of Puthukkudyiruppu. Troops detected six earth bundswhich they demolished on 18th morning.
 LTTE chemical weapons attempt On the 14th, 58 Division troops advanced from Puthukkudyiruppu north to south. Troops under Col Gunwardane and his 9 GW under Lt. Col. Lal Chandrasiri, recovered buried weapons. Troops advanced amidst heavy resistance along the A-35 road to four kilometres west of Puthukkudyiruppu. Snipers from 9 GW effectively targeted LTTE cadres and gunned them down. Troops didn’t fire any kind of heavy artillery, as there was an elders’ home situated in the area. Advancing troops encountered booby traps and some were injured by Johnnie mines, but troops tactically moved on and evacuated 23 male and 32 female elderly persons from the elders’ home. Further search operations in the area of the coconut grove revealed buried white phosphorus, a chemical, which, if not kept immersed in water, will burn by itself. The white phosphorus in 25 litre cans was buried only 10 metres away from the elders’ home. If any artillery or mortar rounds had fallen where the phosphorus was buried, it would have been a disaster.
 White phosphorus has a significant, incidental, incendiary effect that can severely burn people and set structures, fields, and other civilian objects in the vicinity on fire.
 


RAW gets new head
As the LTTE was getting the battering of its life, by the SLA, and the Tiger controlled areas were shrinking by the day, another kind of battle came to a conclusion in India. It was the appointment of the head of its intelligence apparatus, the Research & Analysis Wing, famously known as RAW, headed by Ashok Chaturvedi. The RAW chief had to relinquish his post, after most government officials were taken aback by the intelligence failures that led to the Mumbai terror attacks. At that time, India’s intelligence units claimed that, though sufficient warnings were given, the government had failed to follow up. 
Verma on top at RAWK.C. Verma has taken up the reigns as the new head of RAW, as reported by certain media last week. This comes after one of the most protracted and controversial contests to succeed Ashok Chaturvedi, who, during his two-year tenure as head of RAW, has blighted the agency with personality cults, corruption, scandals, intelligence failures and allegations of sexual harassment of female colleagues.
The new chief of RAW will have the daunting challenge of rebuilding morale within the agency and prepare for more complex challenges following the Mumbai attacks.
It had been widely expected that P.V. Kumar of Kerala was the likely candidate to replace Chaturvedi. Kumar, the No. 2 in the organisation, is the senior China expert within RAW, and is fluent in Mandarin and had stints in Hong Kong and Beijing. The Cabinet Committee on appointments vetting the prospective candidates, had sent a written recommendation to the Prime Minister’s office (PMO) endorsing Kumar. It appeared that his appointment as head of RAW was going to be announced before Prime Minister Manmohan Singh was to have a heart bypass surgery on January 24.
However, just prior to Singh being admitted to hospital, Chaturvedi had sent a very critical confidential report to the PMO. The PMO then returned the file to the vetting panel for a reappraisal.
The appointments committee instead endorsed the Home Minister, P. Chidambaram’s recommendation of K.C. Verma as head of RAW, who, unlike the other three candidates, was not already in the spy agency. There had been surprise in some quarters that the government would choose an outsider. Verma was always regarded as a possible contender for the top job.





The Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) were restricted by the military to an area of 121 sq. kms by February 10, and by February 12, it was further restricted to an area of 96 sq. kms. To be precise, the Tigers have lost some 64 sq. km. within six days. When the Tigers lose ground and manpower, obviously they lose their unity as well.
LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran had instructed his cadres not to allow any civilians to leave areas under their control and if they still attempted to flee, to shoot them.
Reliable sources say that Thillaiyampalam Sivanesan alias ‘Soosai’, the Sea Tiger leader had strongly objected to this order by Prabhakaran. But Prabhakaran had reportedly disagreed with Soosai and told him to mind his own business, as he (Prabhakaran) was the leader of the organisation and was the decision maker.
“No one is above me,” he had reportedly told Soosai. This incident had taken place, according to sources, after the LTTE counterattacked on February 1. This has strained the relationship between Soosai and Prabhakaran. Some of the LTTE leaders such as P. Nadesan and Bhanu had reportedly tried to iron out the differences, but unsuccessfully. Some leaders are supportive of Soosai, and sources say that Black Sea Tigers are providing round the clock security to Soosai. This is said to be after Prabhakaran had given instructions to his close aides to keep a close watch on Soosai. Prabhakaran suspects that Soosai may beat him in taking a plane to flee the country. So, if he gets caught doing this, the Tiger chief’s gunmen will surely kill him.
 Soosai very much alive but losing favour Now it has come to light that, though the Sri Lanka Air Force (SLAF) bombed Soosai’s hideout, and reports suggested that he had been killed or severely injured, in fact, he had narrowly escaped. When Theepan, one of the top rung leaders had requested Sea Tiger support for the counterattack of February 1, Soosai is said to have rejected the request. This had prompted Prabhakaran himself to order Soosai to release the necessary cadres for the attack and for him to command it. This counterattack on the Sri Lanka Army (SLA) on February 1 was a total failure, as far as the Tigers were concerned. The LTTE lost a large number of seasoned cadres. But Soosai and Bhanu had blamed the LTTE’s intelligence wing and its head Rathnam Master for failing to provide accurate intelligence. 
 In the melee, it is learnt that Soosai and LTTE Intelligence head Pottu Amman are not seeing eye-to-eye. This is as a result of Pottu Amman sending one of his intelligence cadres to Sea Tiger Soosai’s inner circle to spy on his activities. This spy had been detected by a Soosai loyalist and while being interrogated had disclosed Pottu Amman’s plan. Soosai had ordered his men to eliminate the spy.   
 At the moment, the LTTE leaders have strong misunderstandings among themselves, as well as a lack of trust. But the LTTE may counter this situation with P. Nadesan responding through TamilNet and publishing some old photographs of Prabhakaran and Soosai together, to tell the Diaspora that everything is well within the organisation. 
 It is more a rule than an exception that, whenever an organisation, however much disciplined, is beset with defeat after defeat, misunderstandings are apt to crop up among the leaders. For a terrorist organisation, the options are for its leaders to go underground or surrender to the military. But will they? The other option will be for them to arrive into government controlled areas, posing as civilians, which, technically, they are, and then live as moles or ‘sleeping cadres’ to become active as and when necessary, since they know the exact locations of concealed weapons. They may resort to hit-and-run tactics.
  Fight for survival or surrender  There are two options remaining for the LTTE in the battlefront. One is to mount counterattacks or to fight for survival. What if they mount counterattacks and still the Army repulses them, resulting in greater loss of cadres? To surmount this problem, they would keep civilians by force as a human shield and shoot them if they attempt to escape. This is evident from the tales related by those who had arrived in Trincomalee, after fleeing LTTE held areas. They say the Tigers had shot at them while they were trying to escape, killing some and injuring others.
 Some others said that, even some LTTE cadres who had been allocated guard duties, had discarded their weapons and arrived in government controlled areas along with the civilians. 
This means that Prabhakaran commits genocide of his own people, something not done by ‘rebels’, but by terrorists. Unfortunately, all or most foreign media based in Sri Lanka, identify the Tigers as ‘rebels’, which in itself is a misnomer. Well, at the moment, the LTTE lacks manpower for battle or to use its weaponry. The only ace up its sleeve is the brainwashed Black Tiger cadres with their explosives.  
 The final battle and arms haulsOn the 17th, 58 Division under Brig. Shavindra Silva and  his  two Brigades 581 Brigade under Lt Col Desapriya Gunawardane and 582 Brigade under Lt Col Sanjaya Wanigasinghe, are now in the process of dominating the entire Puthukkuduyiruppu western area. According to reports, infantrymen of 6 Gamunu Watch (GW) under Lt Col Kamal Pinnawala , 8GW under Vajira Welgadara, 12GW under Maj. Sampath Ekanayake, 11 Sri Lanka Light Infantry (SLLI)  under Kithsiri Ekanayake, 10 SLLI under Lt Col Shamantha Wickramasinghe and 7 Sinha Regiment (SR) under Lt Col Kitisiri Liyanage have been engaged in pitched battles with the terrorists since February 16 morning. 
The soldiers have maneuvered from north of A-35 road (Paranthan-Mullaittivu), crossing several waterways and eliminated terrorist strongholds on their way, before they reached their current positions. 
According to available information, troops have collected 14 bodies of LTTE cadres after yesterday’s clashes.
57 Division commander Maj. Gen. Jagath Dias has instructed his 571 Brigade Commanders Lt. Col. Harendra Ranasinghe, Col. Senrath Bandara and Lt. Col. Senake Wijesooriya to clear the liberated area as well to consolidate, to prevent any enemy infiltration. During such search operations troops recovered buried arms and ammunition.
On 16th, troops of 5 Vijayabahu Infantry Regiment (VIR)  led by Lt. Col. Jayantha Jayaweera, serving under 533 Brigade commanded by Lt. Col. Jayanath Jayaweera found two 130mm artillery barrels from general area west of Puthukkudyiruppu. The two artillery barrels had been applied with grease and covered with polyethylene before being buried by the fleeing LTTE. Further search operations are now in progress, as the military believes that the remaining accessories of the 130mm artillery guns are also hidden in the surrounding area.
 Take Force 3 under Brig. Sathiyapriya Liyanage is holding the south of Mullaithivu and a part of Task Force 2 is conducting search operations while holding captured ground.
58 Division under Brig. Shavendra Silva, with 582 Brigade under Lt. Col. Sanajaya Wanigasinghe, along with one of his battalion the 11 CLI under Lt. Col. Kithsiri Ekanayake, entered west of  Puthukkudyiruppu build up area. When the 11 CLI troops advanced on Maradapiliara canal crossing, an LTTE suicide bomber blew himself up injuring eight soldiers. Battlefield sources said that this particular suicide bomber had only one leg. Soldiers had found an artificial leg along with his remains. Troops also recovered Jonnie mines. Troops fired RPG and one container exploded. The LTTE had mounted an attack from higher ground, but troops launched an operation early in the morning with a Special Infantry Operations team sneaking into LTTE held areas and relaying the locations for accurate artillery and T-55 Main Battle Tank (MBT). 
 12 GR under Lt. Col. Saliya Amunugama advanced north of the A-35 road amidst heavy resistance. On the 17th, 58 Division under Brig. Shavendra Silva with 581 Brigade under Lt. Col. Deshapriya Gunawardane and 6 GW under Lt. Col. Kamal Pinnawala advanced their troops towards a village called Ampalavanpokkanai, north of Puthukkudyiruppu. Troops detected six earth bundswhich they demolished on 18th morning.
 LTTE chemical weapons attempt On the 14th, 58 Division troops advanced from Puthukkudyiruppu north to south. Troops under Col Gunwardane and his 9 GW under Lt. Col. Lal Chandrasiri, recovered buried weapons. Troops advanced amidst heavy resistance along the A-35 road to four kilometres west of Puthukkudyiruppu. Snipers from 9 GW effectively targeted LTTE cadres and gunned them down. Troops didn’t fire any kind of heavy artillery, as there was an elders’ home situated in the area. Advancing troops encountered booby traps and some were injured by Johnnie mines, but troops tactically moved on and evacuated 23 male and 32 female elderly persons from the elders’ home. Further search operations in the area of the coconut grove revealed buried white phosphorus, a chemical, which, if not kept immersed in water, will burn by itself. The white phosphorus in 25 litre cans was buried only 10 metres away from the elders’ home. If any artillery or mortar rounds had fallen where the phosphorus was buried, it would have been a disaster.
 White phosphorus has a significant, incidental, incendiary effect that can severely burn people and set structures, fields, and other civilian objects in the vicinity on fire.
 


RAW gets new head
As the LTTE was getting the battering of its life, by the SLA, and the Tiger controlled areas were shrinking by the day, another kind of battle came to a conclusion in India. It was the appointment of the head of its intelligence apparatus, the Research & Analysis Wing, famously known as RAW, headed by Ashok Chaturvedi. The RAW chief had to relinquish his post, after most government officials were taken aback by the intelligence failures that led to the Mumbai terror attacks. At that time, India’s intelligence units claimed that, though sufficient warnings were given, the government had failed to follow up. 
Verma on top at RAWK.C. Verma has taken up the reigns as the new head of RAW, as reported by certain media last week. This comes after one of the most protracted and controversial contests to succeed Ashok Chaturvedi, who, during his two-year tenure as head of RAW, has blighted the agency with personality cults, corruption, scandals, intelligence failures and allegations of sexual harassment of female colleagues.
The new chief of RAW will have the daunting challenge of rebuilding morale within the agency and prepare for more complex challenges following the Mumbai attacks.
It had been widely expected that P.V. Kumar of Kerala was the likely candidate to replace Chaturvedi. Kumar, the No. 2 in the organisation, is the senior China expert within RAW, and is fluent in Mandarin and had stints in Hong Kong and Beijing. The Cabinet Committee on appointments vetting the prospective candidates, had sent a written recommendation to the Prime Minister’s office (PMO) endorsing Kumar. It appeared that his appointment as head of RAW was going to be announced before Prime Minister Manmohan Singh was to have a heart bypass surgery on January 24.
However, just prior to Singh being admitted to hospital, Chaturvedi had sent a very critical confidential report to the PMO. The PMO then returned the file to the vetting panel for a reappraisal.
The appointments committee instead endorsed the Home Minister, P. Chidambaram’s recommendation of K.C. Verma as head of RAW, who, unlike the other three candidates, was not already in the spy agency. There had been surprise in some quarters that the government would choose an outsider. Verma was always regarded as a possible contender for the top job.

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